"Não há ciência pura e ciência aplicada, há ciência e aplicações da ciência." (Louis Pasteur)

My homepage. My CV (in Portuguese), (in English)

My research group (in Portuguese)

Email: ehlers AT icmc. usp. br (please do not send me Word documents)

1. Markov chain Monte Carlo methods
2. Bayesian Forecasting and Time Series Analysis
3. Genetic Algorithms for Model Comparison
4. Stochastic Production Frontier Models
5. Space-Time Modelling of Aerial Data
6. Bayesian Statistics for Finance and Insurance

1. Ehlers, R.S. Comparing Bayesian Models for Production Efficiency.
2. Ehlers, R.S. and Brooks, S.P. Bayesian Analysis of Order Uncertainty in ARIMA Models.
3. Ehlers, R.S. and Melo, L.G. A Bayesian Approach for Computing Claim Amounts of Occuring but Not Reported Events.

1. Ehlers, R.S. and Ferreira, M.A.R. Exploring Large Regression Model Spaces via Trans-dimensional Genetic Algorithms.
2. Ehlers, R.S. Fully Bayesian Analysis of Smooth Transition Models with an Unknown Number of Components.
3. Ehlers, R.S. Fully Bayesian Analysis of Censored Panel Data in Econometrics.
4. Ehlers, R.S. Computational Tools for Comparing Asymmetric GARCH Models via Bayes Factors.